3 Gilfach Close, Kerry, Newtown, SY16 4FB

UPRN:10094378692End Terrace House1 bedsBuilt 2022

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: A (101)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Gilfach Close, Kerry, Newtown, SY16 4FB

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£164,000

£156k - £173kHigh

Estimate

£164k

Range

£156k – £173k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£700

£650 - £750

Monthly

£700

Yield

4.54%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Gilfach Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 88/100. Investment score 81/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

88/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

81/ 100

High

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -12.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094378692· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 700/mo (range 650-750)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -396/mo, -57% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
134 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£139,000£212,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£185,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£700/mo

Evidenced range £650-£750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £58,000
Net cash flow: -£140/mo
Cash on cash: -2.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.12 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094378692Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 700/mo (range 650-750)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 700/mo (range 650-750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£164,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£700

Gross Yield4.54%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.8%

5y Growth+2.8%

10y Growth+4.3%

Last Sold Price£164,000 (2022-11-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SY16 4FB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/1238/DIS
Discharge of condition 19 of planning approval 23/0630/FUL (lighting details)
Pending
P/26/0376/NMA
Application for non-material amendments to planning approval 23/0630/FUL in respect of changes to the approved plans
Conditions
26/0084/FUL
Construction of Veterinary Office with roofing over an existing manure store and installation of a sewage treatment plant drainage system
Approved

View Planning Timeline