45 Elm Quay, Thomas Blake Avenue, Southampton, SO14 5DL

UPRN:10094532550Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

45 Elm Quay, Thomas Blake Avenue, Southampton, SO14 5DL

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£212,000

£201k - £222kHigh

Estimate

£212k

Range

£201k – £222k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

7.27%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

45 Elm Quay earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (84/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

84/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 68

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge1.7/15
claims [AVM +10.4% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.1%, £/sqft +2.2%] → measured edge +0.35pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094532550· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 14.9%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics17/40
gross yield 7.3%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -86/mo, -7% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 311 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
221 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£142,500£218,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£189,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £59,585
Net cash flow: £155/mo
Cash on cash: 3.1%
Score at this price: 33

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.79 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094532550Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 14.9%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£212,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield7.27%

1y Growth+16.8%

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+0.3%

10y Growth+1.3%

Last Sold Price£31,000 (2026-06-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SO14 5DL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01250/DIS
Application for approval of details reserved by conditions 7(Operational management plan), 10 (Energy Efficiency - Conversion) and 11 (Water efficiency) of permission 26/00631/FUL for Change of use from a public house (Sui Generis) to 6-person care home (Class C2)
Pending
26/01100/FUL
Alterations and reconfiguration of site from two commercial units (Use Class E) 2x1-bedroom flats and a dwelling to provide 3x1-bedroom flats, 1 x 2-bedroom flat and one ground floor commercial unit (Use Class E), together with replacement bay window to front elevation
Pending
26/01220/FUL
Roof change from flat to pitched and changes to windows and doors to facilitate ground floor conversion to residential.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership43.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining144 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2026-06-17
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,907

Population Density5,032 /km²

Owner Occupied50%

Age Distribution

0-15 8%16-64 79%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hope Community School Southampton
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Mary's Church of England Primary School & Nursery
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Southampton Solent University
0.6 mi
-
Oaktree Education Services Limited
0.7 mi
-

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Elm Quay Thomas Blake Avenue
-
£31k
-
Elm Quay Thomas Blake Avenue
-
£290k
-
Elm Quay Thomas Blake Avenue
-
£300k
-
Elm Quay Thomas Blake Avenue
-
£285k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN