2 Pebble Lane, Ferring, Worthing, BN12 5FB

UPRN:10094567367Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2023

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

2 Pebble Lane, Ferring, Worthing, BN12 5FB

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£914,000

£868k - £960kHigh

Estimate

£914k

Range

£868k – £960k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,350

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,350

Yield

4.47%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

2 Pebble Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 33

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -62.7%, £/sqft -62.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094567367· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.7%· as of 19 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3750)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,465/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 253 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
257 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£675,000£1,035,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£900,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,350/mo

Evidenced range £3,000-£3,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £306,300
Net cash flow: -£718/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.10 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094567367Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.7%Valuation edge · as of 19 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3750)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3350/mo (range 3000-3750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 253 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£914,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,350

Gross Yield4.47%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.3%

5y Growth-1.0%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£910,000 (2023-01-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BN12 5FB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

FG/112/26/DOC
Approval of details reserved by condition imposed under FG/14/25/PL relating to conditions 4-EV Charging, 5-energy efficiency, 6-Biodiversity Enhancement Layout and 11-covered and secure cycle parking spaces.
Pending
FG/113/26/HH
Retention of front porch as built (variation from FG/56/26/HH) and external cladding to front elevation and parts of side elevations.
Pending
FG/111/26/CLP
Application for certificate of lawfulness for a proposed single storey orangery structure with attached glazed covered canopy to replace existing conservatory.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-01-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,809

Population Density-

Owner Occupied89%

Age Distribution

0-15 9%16-64 41%65+ 50%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ferring C of E Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
St Oscar Romero Catholic School
0.9 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Goring-By-Sea CofE (Aided) Primary School
1.3 mi
Good
East Preston Infant School
1.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

1 Pebble Lane
-
£900k
-
3 Pebble Lane
-
£925k
-
2 Pebble Lane
-
£910k
-
4 Pebble Lane
-
£950k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN