21 Lower Ground Close, Brize Norton, Carterton, OX18 1PW

UPRN:10094868933Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: A (93)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

21 Lower Ground Close, Brize Norton, Carterton, OX18 1PW

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£576,000

£518k - £634kMedium

Estimate

£576k

Range

£518k – £634k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

4.10%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 Lower Ground Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

23/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

listing is 'Sold subject to contract' - sale already progressing, not an actionable opportunity

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£606/mo
Cash on cash: -3.6%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.01 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£576,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield4.10%

1y Growth-5.6%

3y Growth+1.4%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£610,000 (2025-04-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX18 1PW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02485/HHD
Conversion of loft with addition of 5no. rooflights
Pending
26/02413/HHD
Demolition of outbuildings, conversion of outbuilding to annex and construction of double garage.
Pending
26/02304/FUL
Erection of a second self-contained holiday let; extension and alteration of the existing holiday let accommodation; construction of a detached one-and-a-half-storey annexe with integral carport ancillary to the main dwelling; erection of a new entrance porch to the dwelling together with associated external works including alterations to boundary treatments, the raising of sections of boundary walling, and installation of an electric entrance gate.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership78.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-04-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,388

Population Density-

Owner Occupied68%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 82%65+ 6%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Brize Norton Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
St John the Evangelist CofE VA Primary School
0.5 mi
Outstanding
Carterton Primary School
0.9 mi
Inspected as Carterton Primary School (URN 123015) on 18 Oct 2022
Gateway Primary School
1.0 mi
Good

5 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

6 Lower Ground Close
-
£480k
-
4 Lower Ground Close
-
£468k
-
19 Lower Ground Close
-
£575k
-
17 Lower Ground Close
-
£575k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN