15 Elmy Avenue, Congleton, CW12 4PZ

UPRN:10094893141Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2023

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£428,000

£407k - £449kHigh

Estimate

£428k

Range

£407k – £449k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

5.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Elmy Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (73/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

73/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 47

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -5.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +4.1%, £/sqft +4.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094893141· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 3.2%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics1.4/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -595/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 39 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
440 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£169/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094893141Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 3.2%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 39 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£428,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield5.20%

1y Growth+9.3%

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£389,895 (2023-11-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CW12 4PZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2442/HOUS
Erection of an outbuilding for use as a home office/games room.
Pending
26/2200/HOUS
Side and front extension and fenestration amendments.
Pending
26/1740/TPO
Oak tree - crown reduction by 1.5 metres; crown lift by 3 metres and removal of deadwood throughout the crown
Pending

View Planning Timeline