Flat 1, Havergate House, 27 Ducks Hill Road, Northwood, HA6 2NW

UPRN:10095325288Flat/Maisonette3 bedsBuilt 2021

Shared ownershipCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 1, Havergate House, 27 Ducks Hill Road, Northwood, HA6 2NW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£557,000

£529k - £585kHigh

Estimate

£557k

Range

£529k – £585k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (35/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is shared ownership. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

35/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +11.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +15.5%, £/sqft +15.6%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095325288· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 13.3%· as of 25 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.2/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -601/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 263 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
168 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£371,000£569,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£495,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £164,550
Net cash flow: -£148/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.32 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095325288Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 13.3%Valuation edge · as of 25 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2400)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£557,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.33%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.6%

5y Growth+1.1%

10y Growth+0.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HA6 2NW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

74971/APP/2026/2498
Details pursuant to the discharge of Conditions 6 (Water Management) of planning permission ref. 74971/APP/2025/780, dated 14-11-25 (Erection of 1no. detached bungalow, with associated parking (including installation of new vehicular crossover), landscaping, cycle parking and refuse storage.)
Pending
2082/TRE/2026/244
TPO 744 T1 1x Horse Chestnut to section dismantle tree to near ground level.
Pending
70758/TRE/2026/239
TPO 505 T20 1x Oak to reduce crown by 40% all around.
Pending

View Planning Timeline