12 Parc y Neuadd, Carmarthen, SA31 2DF

UPRN:10095357480Detached Property4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 5mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

12 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£509,000

£458k - £560kMedium

Estimate

£509k

Range

£458k – £560k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

4.10%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Parc y Neuadd earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

26/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -17.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095357480· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,155/mo, -56% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
196 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£606/mo
Cash on cash: -3.6%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.01 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095357480Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£509,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield4.10%

1y Growth-13.0%

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SA31 2DF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/11110
Extension of domestic curtilage of the dwelling to facilitate benefits including parking of motorhome alongside rather than in front of the garage and additional garden space
Approved
PL/10995
Application for tree works to trees subject to a preservation order (TPO) W31 - 1) Car park area 4 Ash trees with ADB- Reduce to 5ft stumps 2) 2 Oak trees overhanging no 13 - Side prune and reduce by approx 30-40% in height 3) no12 3 Ash trees with ADB - Dismantle approx to 7-8ft in height 4) In between no 11 and no 12 - Reduce 2 Oak trees to where one has previously split out in a storm 4) no11 1 Ash tree with ADB - Dismantle to approx 7-8ft stumps in height and 1 Spruce tree - Dismantle to approx 5ft in height
Conditions
PL/10489
New link bridge between Block 02 and Block 05 at second floor level, new 3 storey evacuation lift at Block 32, new escape ladder from the rooftop plant room on Block 05 to ground level, new external ramp at Block 0 and an extension to the existing external ramps at Block 01
Approved

View Planning Timeline