Hafan Heddwch, Ger-y-Llan, Llanarthney, Carmarthen, SA32 8HJ

UPRN:10095357995Detached HouseBeds -Built 2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (85)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Hafan Heddwch, Ger-y-Llan, Llanarthney, Carmarthen, SA32 8HJ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£503,000

£453k - £554kMedium

Estimate

£503k

Range

£453k – £554k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

3.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Hafan Heddwch earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -3.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095357995· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.7%; range width penalty ×0.70
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1400-1800)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,148/mo, -72% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
61 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£390,000£598,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£520,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £173,300
Net cash flow: -£647/mo
Cash on cash: -4.5%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.91 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095357995Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1400-1800)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1400-1800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 64 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£503,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield3.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.7%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£383,000 (2021-06-10)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA32 8HJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/10607
Above Ground Circular Slurry Tank to comply with The Water Resources (Control of Agricultural Pollution) (Wales) Regulations 2021
Approved
PL/09621
Multi Functional Space (Resubmission of PL/08890 - Refused (02/4/2025)
Approved
PL/09208
Temporary Placement of permeable track through field for construction traffic associated with the construction of a section of the permitted Tywi Valley Path. Entrance will utilise existing gateway from B4300. There will be no impact to the existing hedgerow
Approved

View Planning Timeline