9 Lucas Way, Market Rasen, LN8 3ZB

UPRN:10095383705Detached HouseBeds -Built 2025

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band DEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£331,000

£314k - £347kHigh

Estimate

£331k

Range

£314k – £347k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

4.48%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

9 Lucas Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 52/100. Investment score 46/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

52/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

46/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

26/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 35

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095383705· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1400)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -625/mo, -50% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
211 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£251,000£385,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£335,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £108,550
Net cash flow: -£265/mo
Cash on cash: -2.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095383705Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1400)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£331,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield4.48%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.2%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN8 3ZB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

151439
Notice to carry out tree works: G1 - Thorns - Approx height 5m with an approx spread of 5m - Reduce branches/stems on thorn trees leaning over the river and towards the road down to approx 2.5m in height and cut back to bank side. G2 - Willows - Approx height 6m with an approx spread of 6m - Remove all that are on Church Mill Court side of the river. G3 - Sycamores and thorns - Approx height of up to 10m with the group spanning an approx length of 45m - Crown lift all trees over footpath and road to approx 5.2m from road side ground level. Within the Market Rasen conservation area.
Pending
151380
G1 - Willow - Cut back from security light to give a 1 metre clearance. Within G1 of Tree Preservation Order Market Rasen 1997.
Pending
151377
Planning application for proposed single storey extension.
Pending

View Planning Timeline