39 Hotchkin Gardens, Woodhall Spa, LN10 6AQ

UPRN:10095415256Detached Bungalow2 bedsBuilt 2024

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

39 Hotchkin Gardens, Woodhall Spa, LN10 6AQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£398,000

£378k - £418kHigh

Estimate

£398k

Range

£378k – £418k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

3.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

39 Hotchkin Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -0.8%, £/sqft -0.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095415256· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.5%· as of 26 Sept 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1300)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -830/mo, -69% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 183 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
79 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£435/mo
Cash on cash: -4.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.95 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10095415256Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.5%Valuation edge · as of 26 Sept 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1300)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 183 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£398,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield3.84%

1y Growth+10.1%

3y Growth-2.0%

5y Growth+1.3%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£394,950 (2025-01-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN10 6AQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

01735/26/FUL
Planning Permission - Erection of a dwelling on the site of the existing dwelling which is to be demolished and construction of a vehicular access.
Pending
01703/26/RVC
Section 73 application to vary condition no. 2 (approved plans) as previously imposed on planning permission reference S/215/02161/23 for the extension and alterations to existing dwelling to provide additional living accommodation and a swimming pool, including the relocation of existing entrance gates and piers to a maximum height of 2.5 metres.
Pending
01626/26/DPC
Discharge of condition 8 (surface water strategy), condition 10 (biodiversity), condition 13 (approved plans), condition 14 (materials), condition 17 (construction management plan) & condition 21 (ecology) imposed on 00461/26/RVC.
Pending

View Planning Timeline