2 Orchard Villas, Danford Lane, Hartpury, GL19 3FP

UPRN:10096001900Detached House5 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo ago

2 Orchard Villas, Danford Lane, Hartpury, GL19 3FP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£789,000

£750k - £829kHigh

Estimate

£789k

Range

£750k – £829k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,950

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,950

Yield

4.57%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

2 Orchard Villas earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096001900· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2650-3300)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,231/mo, -42% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 435 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
72 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£678,000£891,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£775,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,950/mo

Evidenced range £2,650-£3,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £262,550
Net cash flow: -£573/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.13 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096001900Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2650-3300)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2950/mo (range 2650-3300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 435 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£789,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,950

Gross Yield4.57%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.6%

5y Growth+3.3%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£765,000 (2026-02-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL19 3FP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P0483/26/LBC
Replacement of existing non-original single-glazed windows with double-glazed flush casement hardwood windows. Repairs of structural oak frame and replacement of infill panels
Approved
P0471/26/FUL
Variation of Condition 2 (Approved Plans) of planning permission P0118/24/FUL to allow for the alteration of the layout and design
Pending
P0409/26/FUL
Erection of a self build dwelling and associated works
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership82.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2026-02-20
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,589

Population Density-

Owner Occupied-

Age Distribution

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hartpury Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Hartmore School
0.6 mi
Good
Ashleworth Church of England Primary School
1.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Hartpury College
1.2 mi
-

7 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Orchard Villas
-
£765k
-
1 Orchard Villas
-
£725k
-
2 Orchard Villas
-
£765k
-
3 Orchard Villas
-
£760k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN