15 Thyme Street, Branston, Burton-on-Trent, DE14 3UN

UPRN:10096046091End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 2022

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

15 Thyme Street, Branston, Burton-on-Trent, DE14 3UN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£293,000

£263k - £322kMedium

Estimate

£293k

Range

£263k – £322k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,900

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,900

Yield

8.77%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Thyme Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (75/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

33/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

75/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 40Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +11.3% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -0.8%, £/sqft -0.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096046091· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 5.3%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics29.8/40
gross yield 8.8%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1800-2000)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin8.9/30
stressed cash flow +170/mo, +9% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 264 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
337 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £221,000

£195,000£299,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£260,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,900/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £82,300
Net cash flow: £438/mo
Cash on cash: 6.4%
Score at this price: 52

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.17 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096046091Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 5.3%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1800-2000)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1900/mo (range 1800-2000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 264 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £221,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£293,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,900

Gross Yield8.77%

1y Growth-54.0%

3y Growth-2.2%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+1.8%

Last Sold Price£260,749 (2023-02-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DE14 3UN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/01080
Application for a Certificate of Lawfulness for the installation of 2 no. Air Source Heat Pumps (to provide heating and cooling) and associated pipework and trunking.
Pending
P/2026/00945
Details required by condition 5 (Remediation scheme - Miller Homes Ltd - Phase 5) on Plots 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20 and 21 of planning permission P/2024/00280 relating to the application under Section 73 to vary Condition 1 (plans) attached to the Reserved Matters application P/2023/00666 for the erection of 100 dwellings including details of appearance, landscaping, layout and scale
Approved
P/2026/00923
Details required by condition 5 (remediation scheme) on Plots 11, 12, 13 and 14 of planning permission P/2024/00280 relating to the application under Section 73 to vary Condition 1 (plans) attached to the Reserved Matters application P/2023/00666 for the erection of 100 dwellings including details of appearance, landscaping, layout and scale (Phase 5 - Miller Homes Ltd)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership70%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-02-17
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,517

Population Density523 /km²

Owner Occupied84%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 65%65+ 14%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Rykneld Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Paget High School
0.8 mi
Good
Branston Locks Primary and Nursery School
0.8 mi
-
John Taylor Free School
0.8 mi
Good

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

7 Thyme Street
-
£102k
-
7 Thyme Street
-
£100k
-
7 Thyme Street
-
£98k
-
24 Thyme Street
-
£255k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN