3 Lapwing Way, Whitfield, Dover, CT16 3RJ

UPRN:10096169078End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Lapwing Way, Whitfield, Dover, CT16 3RJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£307,000

£292k - £323kHigh

Estimate

£307k

Range

£292k – £323k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

6.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Lapwing Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096169078· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics13/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -146/mo, -9% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity0/15
lease 8 years (under 80): most lenders refuse it - risk scores nothing; 251 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
- listing_factslease 8 years remaining (advert)· as of 9 Nov 2026

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: £164/mo
Cash on cash: 2.0%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.68 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096169078Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity
listing_facts

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£307,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield6.80%

1y Growth+5.6%

3y Growth-3.7%

5y Growth-1.5%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£292,595 (2025-02-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CT16 3RJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01006
Certificate of lawfulness (proposed) for the erection of an outbuilding for incidental use
Pending
CON/21/00075/AA
Discharge of condition 14 (Archaeological Evaluation) pursuant to application 21/00075 - Outline application for the erection of up to 38no. dwellings and formation of access road (with all matters reserved except access)
Pending
26/00937
Display of a non illuminated free-standing post mounted sign
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-02-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,704

Population Density787 /km²

Owner Occupied88%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 55%65+ 29%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Whitfield Aspen School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Dover Christ Church Academy
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Green Park Community Primary School
0.9 mi
OutstandingConcerns
Shatterlocks Infant and Nursery School
1.4 mi
Inspected as Shatterlocks Infant School (URN 118396) on 28 Jan 2009

8 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 Lapwing Way
-
£279k
-
33 Lapwing Way
-
£370k
-
37 Lapwing Way
-
£394k
-
29 Lapwing Way
-
£355k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN