26 Firefly Rise, Ledbury, HR8 1FH

UPRN:10096232491Detached HouseBeds -Built -

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band DEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

11 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£414,000

£372k - £455kMedium

Estimate

£414k

Range

£372k – £455k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

3.94%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

26 Firefly Rise earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 15% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +15.5% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096232491· as of 10 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.9%; range width penalty ×0.77; the estimate this rent rides on sits 15% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1250)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -761/mo, -66% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 147 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
173 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: -£385/mo
Cash on cash: -4.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.97 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096232491Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1250)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1250)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£414,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield3.94%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+3.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HR8 1FH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P263078/F
Variation of condition 4 & 5 of planning permission 261077 (Change of use of existing agricultural barn to a light industrial workshop (Use Class E(g)(iii))) - to allow small-scale, pre-booked educational workshops and teaching activities ancillary to the approved light industrial workshop use (Use Class E(g)(iii)).
Pending
P262795/F
Stationing of 36x12ft static caravan to be housed within the site.
Pending
P262797/PIP
Application for Permission in Principle for a four bedroom dwelling isto be made from 5x 40ftx8ft containers on the ground floor, with a timber frame above to create a dormer style bungalow. There will also be a detached garage within the site, that is to be made from 2x 30ftx8ft containers, with at least 5 parking spaces in front.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership82.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsNone
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,361

Population Density-

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 14%16-64 52%65+ 34%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ledbury Primary School
1.0 mi
Good
Queenswood School
1.5 mi
Good
John Masefield High School
1.6 mi
Good
Bosbury CofE Primary School
2.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

50 Firefly Rise
-
£350k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN