Flat 48, Forastero House, 24 Farine Avenue, Hayes, UB3 4GE

UPRN:10096321908Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 2023

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (86)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 48, Forastero House, 24 Farine Avenue, Hayes, UB3 4GE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£448,000

£426k - £471kHigh

Estimate

£448k

Range

£426k – £471k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 48 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (61/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

64/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

61/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 30Bike 59

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 29 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -10.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -30.3%, £/sqft -30.4%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096321908· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 2.8%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.5/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -601/mo, -27% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 29 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 29 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
268 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£371,000£569,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£495,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £164,550
Net cash flow: -£148/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.32 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096321908Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 2.8%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 29 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 29 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£448,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.33%

1y Growth+9.8%

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+5.1%

Last Sold Price£443,440 (2023-08-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseHigh

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB3 4GE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

79650/APP/2026/2306
Application under section 73A for development part carried out including the erection of a single storey wrap around extension to the side and rear (Proposed) and front porch (Retrospective).
Pending
62339/APP/2026/2204
Erection of rear outbuilding following the demolition of the existing store (Application for a Certificate of Lawful Development for a Proposed Development).
Approved
62339/APP/2026/2205
Erection of a single storey part 2 storey rear extension.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership57.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2023-08-04
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,429

Population Density6,224 /km²

Owner Occupied41%

Age Distribution

0-15 22%16-64 68%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Botwell House Catholic Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Global Academy
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Cranford Park Academy
0.5 mi
Good
Minet Junior School
0.7 mi
-

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Forastero House, 24 Farine Avenue
-
£389k
-
Forastero House, 24 Farine Avenue
-
£305k
-
Forastero House, 24 Farine Avenue
-
£541k
-
Forastero House, 24 Farine Avenue
-
£489k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN