1A Ash Grove, Hayes, UB3 1JR

UPRN:10096324899Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2025

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£591,000

£562k - £621kHigh

Estimate

£591k

Range

£562k – £621k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,100

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,100

Yield

6.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1A Ash Grove earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (89/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

22/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

89/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 44

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096324899· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics9.1/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3100/mo (range 2900-3350)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -362/mo, -12% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 259 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
268 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£506,000£669,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£595,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,100/mo

Evidenced range £2,900-£3,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £199,550
Net cash flow: £138/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096324899Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3100/mo (range 2900-3350)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3100/mo (range 2900-3350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 259 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£591,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,100

Gross Yield6.25%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+5.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB3 1JR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

64863/APP/2026/2441
Conversion of roof space to habitable use to include a rear dormer and 3 front roof lights on the front slopping roof (Application for a Certificate of Lawful Development for a Proposed Development).
Pending
80054/APP/2026/2375
Details pursuant to the discharge of Condition 5 (Play Area Management and Maintenance Plan) of planning permission ref. 80054/APP/2026/1117, dated 09-07-2026 (Remodelling of park space including soft landscaping, hard surfacing, a fenced play area and other associated works.)
Pending
79797/APP/2026/2167
Erection of a two-storey, two-bedroom (three-person) dwellinghouse with associated cycle and refuse storage, boundary treatment and landscaping.
Pending

View Planning Timeline