13 Willow Crescent East, New Denham, UB9 4AP

UPRN:10096532050Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

13 Willow Crescent East, New Denham, UB9 4AP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£879,000

£704k - £1.05MLow

Estimate

£879k

Range

£704k – £1.05M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,950

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,950

Yield

2.83%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

13 Willow Crescent East earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 66/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (41/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

66/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

37/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

41/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 46

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.8%; range width penalty ×0.73
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2600-3300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,235/mo, -110% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
129 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,950/mo

Evidenced range £2,600-£3,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£2,176/mo
Cash on cash: -5.9%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.70 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2600-3300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2950/mo (range 2600-3300)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£879,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,950

Gross Yield2.83%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£550,000 (2022-07-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB9 4AP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/07981/FA
Construction of a Flash Charging Electric Vehicle Hub which includes a charging upstand, power cabinet unit and self-contained energy buffer units purpose-built for high-rate DC charging infrastructure and associated works
Pending
38074/APP/2026/2409
Variation of conditions 5 (details of lighting), 6 (contamination) and 7 (decking details) of planning permission reference 38074/APP/2026/1405, dated 17-08-26 (Replacement of existing rear ramp and construction of rear terrace with associated structures. Refurbishment of the existing fourth floor terrace with associated structures and landscaping. Construction of front entrance canopy. Alterations to existing facade glazing. Reorganisation and provision of car and cycle parking, hard and soft landscaping works and associated development.) The application seeks to amend the wording of Conditions 5 (details of lighting) and 7 (decking details) to compliance conditions and to amend the wording of Condition 6 (contamination).
Pending
80208/APP/2026/2301
Loft extension including constructing a rear dormer, hip to gable and insertion of roof light in the front slope of the pitched roof (Application for a Certificate of Lawful Development for a Proposed Development)
Approved

View Planning Timeline