1 St Mary Rise, Withernsea, HU19 2FD

UPRN:10096542978Detached HouseBeds -Built -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

13 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£201,000

£191k - £211kHigh

Estimate

£201k

Range

£191k – £211k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£900

Yield

4.70%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 St Mary Rise earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 52/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

52/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

22/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -14.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096542978· as of 14 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-1000)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -439/mo, -49% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity0/15
lease 2 years (under 80): most lenders refuse it - risk scores nothing; 84 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
- listing_factslease 2 years remaining (advert)· as of 9 Nov 2026

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: -£153/mo
Cash on cash: -2.5%
Score at this price: 0

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.16 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10096542978Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-1000)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity
listing_facts

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 850-1000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£201,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield4.70%

1y Growth+2.7%

3y Growth+3.8%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+3.7%

Last Sold Price£193,795 (2025-06-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HU19 2FD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02544/PLF
Alterations to increase roof height to create first floor including construction of dormer to front and rear; erection of single storey extension to front and side; construction of extension to rear incorporating basement; and conversion of garage to granny annexe
Pending
26/01884/PLF
Change of use of annex/office to first floor one bedroom flat with storage at ground floor (retrospective)
Rejected
26/01535/CLP
Certificate of Lawfulness for the proposed temporary siting of a caravan to rear garden
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership84.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-06-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,881

Population Density104 /km²

Owner Occupied77%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 52%65+ 32%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Sycamore House School
0.2 mi
Good
Withernsea Primary School
0.8 mi
Good
Withernsea High School
0.9 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Patrington CofE Primary Academy
3.4 mi
Good

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

14 St Mary Rise
-
£138k
-
11 St Mary Rise
-
£205k
-
10 St Mary Rise
-
£157k
-
8 St Mary Rise
-
£157k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN