The Beech, Mill Farm, Mill Lane, Chalfont St Giles, HP8 4NP

UPRN:10097276545-Beds -Built 2025

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Beech, Mill Farm, Mill Lane, Chalfont St Giles, HP8 4NP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£2,264,000

£2.04M - £2.49MMedium

Estimate

£2.26M

Range

£2.04M – £2.49M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£6,050

£5k - £7k

Monthly

£6,050

Yield

3.72%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Beech earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (53/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

53/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +13.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10097276545· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.7%; range width penalty ×0.65
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6050/mo (range 5250-6900)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,910/mo, -65% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
53 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,462,500£1,998,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,950,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£6,050/mo

Evidenced range £5,250-£6,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £734,050
Net cash flow: -£2,393/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.92 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10097276545Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6050/mo (range 5250-6900)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 6050/mo (range 5250-6900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£2,264,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£6,050

Gross Yield3.72%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-8.7%

5y Growth+0.4%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

3HP8 4NP

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

PL/26/07308/FA
Upgrade underfloor electric heating system with air source heat pump and solar panels.
Pending
PL/26/08166/CONDA
Approval of condition 14 (remediation verification report) of planning permission PL/25/0306/VRC (Approval of condition 2 (materials) and variation of condition 21 (approved plans) of planning permission PL/21/3281/FA (Demolition of existing buildings, redevelopment of site to include erection of 5 detached houses and associated car parking) to allow changes to design)
Pending
PL/26/07580/TP
Prune the overhanging lateral branches back to our shared property boundary line and/or early point to 1 x Field Maple (T5) due to the tree causing heavy suppression, the lawn beneath the canopy is actively dying out, and established Red Robin shrubs along the border are suffering severe dieback due to the critical lack of light - this targeted reduction will allow light to filter back into the garden to save the domestic landscaping, while fully maintaining the overall health and visual appearance of the protected tree.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density-

Owner Occupied90%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 56%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Chalfont St Giles Infant School and Nursery
0.4 mi
Good
Chalfont St Giles Junior School
0.6 mi
Outstanding
Jordans School
1.6 mi
Good
Chalfont St Peter Infant School
1.9 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Mill Farm Mill Lane
-
£2.83M
-
The Old Mill Mill Lane
-
£575k
-
The Old Mill Mill Lane
-
£495k
-
Mill Farm Bungalow Mill Lane
-
£225k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN