21A Forest Way, Humberston, Grimsby, DN36 4HQ

UPRN:11067235Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

21A Forest Way, Humberston, Grimsby, DN36 4HQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£349,000

£331k - £366kHigh

Estimate

£349k

Range

£331k – £366k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

5.12%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21A Forest Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (24/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

27/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

24/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 35

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge1.9/15
claims [AVM +2.6% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.3%, £/sqft +2.3%] → measured edge +0.38pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 11067235· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 14.6%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.8/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -499/mo, -34% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£255,000£391,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£340,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £110,300
Net cash flow: -£144/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.26 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 11067235Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 14.6%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£349,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield5.12%

1y Growth-9.1%

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+1.0%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£85,000 (1998-10-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN36 4HQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/0667/26/FUL
Demolish existing conservatory to erect single storey extension to rear with roof lantern.
Conditions
DM/0465/26/SCR
Demolition and removal of all existing buildings and structures on site, alteration to existing access from Kings Road and formation of new points of access from Kings Road, installation of hardstanding bases to accommodate up to 272 holiday lodges with associated parking, access roads, servicing, hard and soft landscaping (including creation of outdoor activity space), replacement bridge over buck beck and erection of ancillary holiday resort buildings, erection of 2 x hotels, restaurants and cafes, a leisure unit (size increased), 2 x retail units (one with garden centre) and drive thru coffee unit all with car parking, access roads, servicing areas, hard and soft landscaping and use of the existing lake for fishing with associated erection of angler hub
Approved
DM/0275/26/FUL
Demolish existing conservatory to rear and single garage and erect single storey extension with roof lights to rear, detached double garage and associated works.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership71.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change1998-10-09
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£28,898

Population Density-

Owner Occupied90%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 55%65+ 33%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Humberston Church of England Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as The Humberston CofE Primary School (URN 118012) on 6 Feb 2019
Humberston Park School
0.7 mi
Inspected as Humberston Park School (URN 118143) on 23 Jun 2010
Humberston Cloverfields Academy
0.7 mi
Good
Humberston Academy
0.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

12 Forest Way
-
£322k
-
42 Forest Way
-
£215k
-
21C Forest Way
-
£390k
-
46 Forest Way
-
£295k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN