Church View, 2A Main Road, Aylesby, Grimsby, DN37 7AP

UPRN:11091014Detached HouseBeds -Built 2012 onwards

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band EEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Church View, 2A Main Road, Aylesby, Grimsby, DN37 7AP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£418,000

£376k - £459kMedium

Estimate

£418k

Range

£376k – £459k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

4.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Church View earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 59/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (2/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

59/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

2/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 20

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -19.6% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -20.8%, £/sqft -20.8%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 11091014· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 8%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.2%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -953/mo, -54% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 26 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
218 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£499,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,283
Net cash flow: -£476/mo
Cash on cash: -3.4%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.04 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 11091014Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 8%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 26 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£418,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield4.20%

1y Growth-7.2%

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+2.7%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£415,000 (2024-03-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN37 7AP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/0532/26/FUL
Erect single storey extension to rear to form integral garage with first floor mezzanine, indoor swimming pool and rooflights, erect single storey extension to side, widening of existing and formation of a new driveway, erection of gates and associated works
Pending
DM/0779/25/FUL
Erect single storey extension to side with roof lights and associated works
Conditions
DM/0779/25/FULA
Erect single storey extension to side with roof lights and associated works
Conditions

View Planning Timeline