5 Madge Hill, Church Road, London, W7 3BW

UPRN:12011778Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

5 Madge Hill, Church Road, London, W7 3BW

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£486,000

£461k - £510kHigh

Estimate

£486k

Range

£461k – £510k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

4.58%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

5 Madge Hill earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (78/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

20/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

78/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 28Bike 56

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -13.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12011778· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -907/mo, -43% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 240 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
185 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£402/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.13 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12011778Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2250)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£486,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield4.58%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+0.6%

10y Growth+1.3%

Last Sold Price£420,000 (2015-12-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1W7 3BW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263878PTC
Sycamore T1 - Reshape to previous pruning points Sycamore T2 - Remove dead branches and reshape to strong, live growth (3 metres height reduction approx.)
Pending
263847PTC
T1 -T2 Fell to near ground level 2x pine trees growing in close proximity to the adjacent buildings
Approved
263557PTC
T1 Ash - Reduce all aspects of the tree by approx. 4-5m. (1.5m below the previous points of reduction).
Approved

View Planning Timeline