44 Lowden Road, Southall, UB1 1AX

UPRN:12030016Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£215,000

£204k - £226kHigh

Estimate

£215k

Range

£204k – £226k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

5.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

44 Lowden Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (82/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

26/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

82/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12030016· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics15.5/40
gross yield 6.9% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy); contractual 1400/mo far above the 1000/mo estimate - credited at the 1.3x cap, verify
- listing_factscontractual rent 1400/mo (tenanted)· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -244/mo, -19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
126 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£169,000£258,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£225,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £70,800
Net cash flow: -£67/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 30

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.32 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12030016Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 1400/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
contractual rent 1400/mo (tenanted)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£215,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield5.33%

1y Growth-64.6%

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+6.5%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£128,000 (2012-07-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB1 1AX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263990PALHE
Single storey (Max 6m deep and Max 3m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending
263691PALHE
Single storey (Max 5.95m deep and Max 2.95m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending
263690CPL
Rear roof extension, and installation of three roof lights to front roofslope (Lawful Development Certificate for a Proposed Development)
Pending

View Planning Timeline