15 Elm Tree Close, Northolt, UB5 6AP

UPRN:12035301Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£489,000

£464k - £513kHigh

Estimate

£489k

Range

£464k – £513k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,550

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,550

Yield

6.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Elm Tree Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 80/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (90/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

80/ 100

High

Crime Score

57/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

90/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 47Bike 68

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

listing is 'Under offer' - sale already progressing, not an actionable opportunity

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£489,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,550/mo

Evidenced range £2,400-£2,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £162,783
Net cash flow: £112/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£489,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,550

Gross Yield6.25%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB5 6AP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263782PALHE
Single storey (Max 6m deep and Max 3.40m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending
263346CPL
Alteration of roof from hip to gable end, rear roof extension incorporating a Juliet balcony; installation of three front rooflights (Lawful Development Certificate for a Proposed Development)
Approved
263321CND
Details of cycle storage in pursuant to condition 7 of planning application Ref: 251383FUL dated 31.10.2025 for 'Conversion of dwellinghouse into two flats; single storey rear extension; front extension; front porch extension; part single, part two storey side extension (following demolition of existing garage); part single, part two storey rear extension with patio'
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density-

Owner Occupied43%

Age Distribution

0-15 22%16-64 64%65+ 14%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Gifford Primary School
0.0 mi
Outstanding
Greenford High School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Ravenor Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Belvue School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

1 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

84 Elm Tree Close
-
£455k
-
86 Elm Tree Close
-
£735k
-
23 Elm Tree Close
-
£530k
-
11 Elm Tree Close
-
£180k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN