37 Doncaster Drive, Northolt, UB5 4AT

UPRN:12037083Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,003,000

£953k - £1.05MHigh

Estimate

£1.00M

Range

£953k – £1.05M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,650

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,650

Yield

7.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

37 Doncaster Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 76/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (50/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

76/ 100

High

Crime Score

35/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

50/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 42Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 23% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.3/15
claims [AVM +22.7% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.8%, £/sqft +2.8%] → measured edge +0.46pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12037083· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.3%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics14.3/40
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×0.81; the estimate this rent rides on sits 23% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4650/mo (range 4200-5100)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 23% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0.4/30
stressed cash flow +18/mo, +0% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
221 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£581,000£891,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£775,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,650/mo

Evidenced range £4,200-£5,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £262,550
Net cash flow: £604/mo
Cash on cash: 2.8%
Score at this price: 32

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12037083Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.3%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4650/mo (range 4200-5100)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 23% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4650/mo (range 4200-5100)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 23% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,003,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,650

Gross Yield7.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£825,000 (2020-11-13)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB5 4AT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263850PALHE
Single storey rear extension (max 6m deep and max 2.83 (following part demolition of rear extension) (42 Days Prior Approval Notification Process)
Pending
263387FUL
Change of hardstanding material to the front driveway of ground floor flat
Pending
263117HH
Alterations to the roof height and structure of the single-storey side/rear (wrap-around) extension previously approved under planning permission ref. 223746HH
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2020-11-13
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density-

Owner Occupied45%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 67%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Islip Manor High School
0.1 mi
-
Willow Tree Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Earlsmead Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Queensmead School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 Doncaster Drive
-
£500k
-
37 Doncaster Drive
-
£825k
-
20 Doncaster Drive
-
£436k
-
31 Doncaster Drive
-
£440k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN