3 Cheltenham Close, Northolt, UB5 4DU

UPRN:12046760Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£348,000

£330k - £365kHigh

Estimate

£348k

Range

£330k – £365k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

5.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Cheltenham Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 77/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (61/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

77/ 100

High

Crime Score

25/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

61/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 65Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -27.1%, £/sqft -27.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12046760· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.9%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1650-1900)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -426/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
221 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£54/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12046760Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.9%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1650-1900)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1650-1900)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£348,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield5.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£343,000 (2022-04-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1UB5 4DU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263989PALHE
Single storey (Max 6m deep and Max 3.15m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending
263850PALHE
Single storey rear extension (max 6m deep and max 2.83 (following part demolition of rear extension) (42 Days Prior Approval Notification Process)
Pending
263815PALHE
Single storey (Max 6m deep and Max 3m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending

View Planning Timeline