38 Summit Road, Northolt, UB5 5HL

UPRN:12048005End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£585,000

£556k - £614kHigh

Estimate

£585k

Range

£556k – £614k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,050

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,050

Yield

5.23%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Summit Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 78/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (74/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

78/ 100

High

Crime Score

59/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

74/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 48Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -19.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -39.2%, £/sqft -39.0%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12048005· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 12.7%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.7/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2800-3250)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -841/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 34 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
221 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£525,000£805,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£700,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,050/mo

Evidenced range £2,800-£3,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £236,300
Net cash flow: -£251/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12048005Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 12.7%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2800-3250)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3050/mo (range 2800-3250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 34 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£585,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,050

Gross Yield5.23%

1y Growth+8.7%

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£550,000 (2023-08-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1UB5 5HL

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

263850PALHE
Single storey rear extension (max 6m deep and max 2.83 (following part demolition of rear extension) (42 Days Prior Approval Notification Process)
Pending
263279FUL
Use of ground floor commercial unit as two separate units front for retail (Class E) and rear for workshop (Sui Generis)
Pending
263177CPL
Single storey rear extension, internal alterations, construction of rear boundary walls, and all associated works (Lawful Development Certificate for a Proposed Development)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-08-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density-

Owner Occupied51%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 68%65+ 12%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Belvue School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Islip Manor High School
0.6 mi
-
Willow Tree Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
Petts Hill Primary School
0.6 mi
Good

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

44 Summit Road
-
£660k
-
26 Summit Road
-
£245k
-
51 Summit Road
-
£480k
-
38 Summit Road
-
£550k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN