Data freshness:●Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 3d ago (2026-11-03T04:00:05.311355+00:00)●Price Paid· freshPrice Paid: fresh, refreshed 5d ago (2026-11-01T11:04:37.194573+00:00)●Planning· 4mo agoPlanning: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-07-10T08:10:22.175322+00:00)●EPC· 6mo agoEPC: stale, refreshed 6mo ago (2026-05-20T10:58:39.129138+00:00)●Risk· 5mo agoRisk: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00)●Connectivity· 1mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-03T06:43:10.905825+00:00)●Schools· 1mo agoSchools: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-06T08:24:30.427161+00:00)●Amenities· 1mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh●Council Tax· 6mo agoCouncil Tax: stale, refreshed 6mo ago (2026-05-20T09:33:12.870431+00:00)
HP Score
72
/ 100
Mixed
Verdict
yesterday
Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate
Evidence
17 of 21 sources
Sale Estimate
£541,000
£514k - £568kHigh
Estimate
£541k
Range
£514k – £568k
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£2,350
£2k - £3k
Monthly
£2,350
Yield
5.48%
Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
3 Northolt Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.
Demolition of rear outbuilding and conversion of 2x self-contained flats into 3x self-contained flats, single storey side extension, first floor side to rear extension, rear dormer extension, 4x front rooflights and 1x rear rooflight, replacement of 1x window to rear elevation, removal of 1x chimney stack, internal reconfiguration, refuse storage to front and cycle storage to rear, creation of 1x vehicle parking space to the front forecourt, addition of side access gate and associated landscaping to front and rear.
Pending
263683PALHE
Single storey (Max 6m deep and Max 3m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending
26/2504
Proposed single storey part rear infill extension to the dwellinghouse.
No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.
Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN
Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN
Opportunity
Why this could be an opportunity
18
Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -2.2%, £/sqft -2.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12066756· as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 16.1%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.1/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.82
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2150-2600)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -575/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
251 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.
Economics
What happens to your money
Price sensitivity
£386,000£592,000
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
Your assumptions
£515,000
At the asking price
£2,350/mo
Evidenced range £2,150-£2,600
5.4%
75%
Cash required
£171,550
Net cash flow
-£111/mo
Cash on cash
-0.8%
Score at this price
18
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.35 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12066756Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 16.1%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2150-2600)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
Risks
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2350/mo (range 2150-2600)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield
Plan
Before you offer
1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026