20 Elm Crescent, London, W5 3JW

UPRN:12088991Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,519,000

£1.44M - £1.59MHigh

Estimate

£1.52M

Range

£1.44M – £1.59M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£5,000

£4k - £6k

Monthly

£5,000

Yield

3.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Elm Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (72/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

72/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 66

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12088991· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.72
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5000/mo (range 4400-5600)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,205/mo, -64% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
362 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,200,000£1,840,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,599,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£5,000/mo

Evidenced range £4,400-£5,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £587,030
Net cash flow: -£1,938/mo
Cash on cash: -4.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.93 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12088991Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5000/mo (range 4400-5600)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 5000/mo (range 4400-5600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,519,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£5,000

Gross Yield3.75%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.9%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+0.7%

Last Sold Price£772,000 (2011-10-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0W5 3JW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263874NMA
Application for a Non-Material Amendment in (S96a) seeking to allow minor alterations to the drawings in relation to planning permission reference 260472FUL dated 02/09/2026 for: Change of use of first, second and third floors from office use (Use Class E) to hotel use (Use Class C1); together with the formation of the hotel entrance/access arrangement at ground floor level, alterations to shopfront fenestrations; extensions and alterations to rear elevation, and associated works
Pending
263912FUL
Two storey side extension and rear roof extension; Ground floor rear extension, to create 3 existing dwelling into 3 separate flats
Pending
P/2026/2896
Works to trees in a Conservation Area T1 and T2 removal of two additional conifers
Pending

View Planning Timeline