49 St Pauls Close, London, W5 3JX

UPRN:12089050End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£699,000

£664k - £733kHigh

Estimate

£699k

Range

£664k – £733k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,750

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,750

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

49 St Pauls Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (64/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

64/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 18Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 21% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +21.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12089050· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.4/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.80; the estimate this rent rides on sits 21% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2750/mo (range 2500-3050)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 21% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -429/mo, -16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
362 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,750/mo

Evidenced range £2,500-£3,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: £48/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12089050Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2750/mo (range 2500-3050)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 21% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2750/mo (range 2500-3050)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 21% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£699,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,750

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.9%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+0.7%

Last Sold Price£345,000 (2007-05-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0W5 3JX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263912FUL
Two storey side extension and rear roof extension; Ground floor rear extension, to create 3 existing dwelling into 3 separate flats
Pending
263852PTC
T2 Ash - Fell to ground level and poison the resulting stump.
Pending
P/2026/2947
Erection of a single storey ground rear infill extension and one roof window to existing roof and replacement of front door to the house.
Pending

View Planning Timeline