15 Buxton Gardens, London, W3 9LF

UPRN:12094390Semi-Detached House6 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,614,000

£1.53M - £1.70MHigh

Estimate

£1.61M

Range

£1.53M – £1.70M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£6,650

£6k - £7k

Monthly

£6,650

Yield

4.71%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Buxton Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (85/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

85/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 59Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12094390· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6650/mo (range 6000-7300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,393/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
416 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,271,000£1,949,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,695,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£6,650/mo

Evidenced range £6,000-£7,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £626,950
Net cash flow: -£1,117/mo
Cash on cash: -2.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.16 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12094390Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6650/mo (range 6000-7300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 6650/mo (range 6000-7300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,614,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£6,650

Gross Yield4.71%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.0%

5y Growth-2.9%

10y Growth-0.1%

Last Sold Price£935,000 (2012-07-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0W3 9LF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

263964PALHE
Single storey (Max 4m deep and Max 2.70m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending
264027DV
Modification of Planning Obligation for planning permission ref: 223203FUL dated 09.02.2023 to amend the relevant Schedule 2 wording so that the three-month affordability restriction period runs from the commencement of marketing of the development/shared ownership units, rather than from the date each shared ownership unit is ready for occupation
Pending
263912FUL
Two storey side extension and rear roof extension; Ground floor rear extension, to create 3 existing dwelling into 3 separate flats
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership48%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2012-07-31
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density10,164 /km²

Owner Occupied35%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 68%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Twyford Church of England High School
0.1 mi
Outstanding
St Vincent's Catholic Primary School
0.2 mi
Inspected as St Vincent's Catholic Primary School (URN 101926) on 28 Nov 2023
Greek Primary School of London
0.2 mi
Inadequate
The Japanese School
0.2 mi
Good

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

23 Buxton Gardens
-
£1.22M
-
25 Buxton Gardens
-
£1.18M
-
11 Buxton Gardens
-
£700k
-
17 Buxton Gardens
-
£910k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN