16 Carlton Road, London, W4 5DY

UPRN:12100611Detached PropertyBeds -Built before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: E (53)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,210,000

£1.09M - £1.33MMedium

Estimate

£1.21M

Range

£1.09M – £1.33M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,950

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,950

Yield

5.94%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Carlton Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (83/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

83/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 47Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 17% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +17.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12100611· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics6/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.80; the estimate this rent rides on sits 17% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4950/mo (range 4450-5450)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -710/mo, -14% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
425 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£750,000£1,150,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,950/mo

Evidenced range £4,450-£5,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £345,050
Net cash flow: £52/mo
Cash on cash: 0.2%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.47 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12100611Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4950/mo (range 4450-5450)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4950/mo (range 4450-5450)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,210,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,950

Gross Yield5.94%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+3.0%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£456,000 (2002-07-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1W4 5DY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/3121
Works to a tree within a Conservation Area. Weeping Willow (T1). Crown reduce by a height of two metres and width of four metres by pruning lateral and drooping fronds.
Pending
P/2026/3107
Works to trees in a Conservation Area 1 X T1-Fig(Ficus carica) reduce entire crown to previous reduction points
Pending
P/2026/3070
Details of Condition 3 (Window Condition Survey Findings) submitted pursuant to planning permission P/2026/1371 dated 02/09/2026 for Listed building permission for demolition of the single-storey rear extension, installation of temporary scaffolding to the façade of the building, installation of associated plant equipment, an external condenser unit and acoustic shelter. Internal layout alterations and installation of secondary glazing, external alterations including re-rendering to allow continued use under Class E (c) (g)(i)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2002-07-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density10,977 /km²

Owner Occupied39%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 70%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ark Priory Primary Academy
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Southfield Primary School
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Ark Byron Primary Academy
0.4 mi
GoodImproving
Acton Gardens Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

12 Carlton Road
-
£515k
-
13 Carlton Road
-
£1.19M
-
15 Carlton Road
-
£925k
-
1 Carlton Road
-
£265k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN