96B Castle Road, Northolt, UB5 4SF

UPRN:12112016Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Planning· 3mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£243,000

£230k - £255kHigh

Estimate

£243k

Range

£230k – £255k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

6.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

96B Castle Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 87/100. Investment score 83/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (91/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

87/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

83/ 100

High

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

91/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 42Bike 54

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +1.2% (HIGH), sold-comps +14.9%, £/sqft +15.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12112016· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.9%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.6/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -253/mo, -20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
221 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: £55/mo
Cash on cash: 0.9%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 12112016Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 8.9%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1300)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£243,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield6.25%

1y Growth+5.0%

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth-0.7%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£157,000 (2013-07-03)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

4UB5 4SF

Approval Rate

50%12mo

Development

low

263989PALHE
Demolition of existing chimney stack, and single storey (max.6m deep and 3.15m high and eaves height 3.00m) rear extension (42 days prior notification process).
Pending
263850PALHE
Single storey rear extension (max 6m deep and max 2.83 (following part demolition of rear extension) (42 Days Prior Approval Notification Process)
Pending
263815PALHE
Single storey (Max 6m deep and Max 3m high) rear extension (42 days Prior Notification Process)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining111 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2013-07-03
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

2 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density-

Owner Occupied73%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 69%65+ 12%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Petts Hill Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Belvue School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Greenwood Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
Wood End Primary School
0.7 mi
Requires improvement

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

99 Castle Road
-
£562k
-
124 Castle Road
-
£476k
-
124 Castle Road
-
£405k
-
89 Castle Road
-
£510k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN