First Floor Flat, 19 Carlton Road, London, W4 5DY

UPRN:12152194Converted Flat2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

First Floor Flat, 19 Carlton Road, London, W4 5DY

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£653,000

£522k - £784kLow

Estimate

£653k

Range

£522k – £784k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,700

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,700

Yield

5.40%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

First Floor Flat earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (83/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

83/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 47Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics2.7/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.83
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -677/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
425 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,700/mo

Evidenced range £2,450-£2,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£156/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.33 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£653,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,700

Gross Yield5.40%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+3.0%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1W4 5DY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/3070
Details of Condition 3 (Window Condition Survey Findings) submitted pursuant to planning permission P/2026/1371 dated 02/09/2026 for Listed building permission for demolition of the single-storey rear extension, installation of temporary scaffolding to the façade of the building, installation of associated plant equipment, an external condenser unit and acoustic shelter. Internal layout alterations and installation of secondary glazing, external alterations including re-rendering to allow continued use under Class E (c) (g)(i)
Approved
263928NMA
Application for a Non-Material Amendment in (S96a) seeking to allow amendment to the wording of Condition 42 (Non-Residential BREEAM energy/CO2 accreditation) in relation to planning permission reference 232800FUL dated 08/05/2024 for: Demolition of existing buildings and construction of a mixed use development comprising commercial floorspace, residential units (Use Class C3) and purpose built student housing (Sui Generis), within two buildings, comprising 20 and 11 storeys, with landscaping, and associated ancillary and enabling works
Pending
P/2026/3039
Works to two trees within a conservation area. T1 Ginkgo (x1). Reduce crown by 1.5-2m all round. T2 Japanese Maple (x1). Reduce crown by 1m all around.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,665

Population Density10,977 /km²

Owner Occupied39%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 70%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ark Priory Primary Academy
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Southfield Primary School
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Ark Byron Primary Academy
0.4 mi
GoodImproving
Acton Gardens Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

12 Carlton Road
-
£515k
-
13 Carlton Road
-
£1.19M
-
15 Carlton Road
-
£925k
-
1 Carlton Road
-
£265k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN