19 Ash Tree Close, Surbiton, KT6 5BQ

UPRN:128034151Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£383,000

£364k - £402kHigh

Estimate

£383k

Range

£364k – £402k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,650

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,650

Yield

5.28%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Ash Tree Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (71/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

71/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 28Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +2.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +3.6%, £/sqft +3.5%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 128034151· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.3%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.9/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1800)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -632/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
354 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,650/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£123/mo
Cash on cash: -1.2%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 128034151Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 20.3%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1800)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£383,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,650

Gross Yield5.28%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.1%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+0.8%

Last Sold Price£350,000 (2018-12-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseHigh

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1KT6 5BQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02273/DTN
Removal of Dead Apple tree
Pending
26/02260/TCA
T1519: Red Norway - Fell.
Pending
26/02191/TCA
T1: Lawson cypress - Fell.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining131 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2018-12-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£41,833

Population Density4,719 /km²

Owner Occupied69%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 59%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Shrewsbury House School
0.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
Southborough High School
0.4 mi
Good
Dysart School
0.5 mi
Outstanding
St Matthew's CofE Primary School
0.5 mi
-

2 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

10 Ash Tree Close
-
£450k
-
30 Ash Tree Close
-
£270k
-
11 Ash Tree Close
-
£330k
-
12 Ash Tree Close
-
£425k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN