Flat 2, 145–147 Red Lion Road, Surbiton, KT6 7RQ

UPRN:128039851Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 2, 145–147 Red Lion Road, Surbiton, KT6 7RQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£344,000

£327k - £361kHigh

Estimate

£344k

Range

£327k – £361k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

5.54%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 2 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (80/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

80/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 33Bike 68

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +5.5% (HIGH), sold-comps +15.1%, £/sqft +15.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 128039851· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.3%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.7/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -691/mo, -46% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
354 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£244,000£374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£325,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £105,050
Net cash flow: -£58/mo
Cash on cash: -0.7%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 128039851Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.3%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£344,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield5.54%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.1%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+0.8%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (2021-05-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT6 7RQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02291/TPO
1 x Dead Lawson - Fell.
Pending
26/02169/HOU
Erection of single-storey part front and single-storey part rear extension, demolition of rear outbuilding and erection of replacement detached outbuilding. Changes to fenestrations and addition of 2nos. side windows, with internal and external alterations.
Pending
26/02120/HOUF
Erection of a single storey front porch extension and alteration to the side fenestration.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining110 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2021-05-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

10 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£41,833

Population Density11,225 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 27%16-64 63%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Tolworth Junior School
0.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Tolworth Infant and Nursery School
0.2 mi
Outstanding
Tolworth Girls' School and Sixth Form
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Southborough High School
0.5 mi
Good

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

145 - 147 Red Lion Road
-
£270k
-
145 - 147 Red Lion Road
-
£325k
-
145 - 147 Red Lion Road
-
£340k
-
149 - 151 Red Lion Road
-
£850k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN