1 Kestrel Hill, Gretna, DG16 5LD

UPRN:137011270Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt -

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: -

HP Score

Not available

Verdict

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

6 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£208,000

£197k - £218kHigh

Estimate

£208k

Range

£197k – £218k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

6.93%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Kestrel Hill earns an INVESTIGATE rating; it has no HP Score yet. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)PlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

No data

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -8.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 137011270· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics15.5/40
gross yield 6.9%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -124/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity5.6/15
valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£169,000£258,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£225,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £70,800
Net cash flow: £141/mo
Cash on cash: 2.4%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.71 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 137011270Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1250-1350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 29 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£208,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield6.93%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-

5y Growth-

10y Growth-

Last Sold Price£164,000 (2018-07-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceUnknown
RadonUnknown
MiningUnknown
LandslideUnknown
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseUnknown

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-DG16 5LD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

26/1906/FUL
FORMATION OF PLAY AREA, INSTALLATION OF PLAY EQUIPMENT, SEATING, LANDSCAPING, REALIGNMENT OF EXISTING SERVICE ROAD AND ASSOCIATED WORKS
Pending
26/1348/FUL
ERECTION OF TWO STOREY EXTENSION TO SIDE ELEVATION AND SINGLE STOREY EXTENSION TO REAR ELEVATION OF DWELLINGHOUSE
Approved
26/0345/UTL
INSTALLATION OF 2NO. TELECOMMUNICATIONS POLES
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership-
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsNone
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change2018-07-16
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority-

Population Density-

Owner Occupied-

Age Distribution

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Longtown Primary School
3.9 mi
Inspected as Longtown Primary School (URN 133387) on 27 Jan 2016
Rockcliffe CofE School
4.0 mi
Good
Burgh by Sands School
5.2 mi
Good
Blackford CofE Primary School
5.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

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Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN