3 Crouch Lane, Goffs Oak, Waltham Cross, EN7 6TN

UPRN:148011155Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Crouch Lane, Goffs Oak, Waltham Cross, EN7 6TN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£689,000

£620k - £758kMedium

Estimate

£689k

Range

£620k – £758k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,550

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,550

Yield

1.70%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Crouch Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (39/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

29/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

39/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 23

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -160.5% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 148011155· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 1.7%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -5,828/mo, -229% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 177 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
201 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,346,000£1,974,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,795,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,550/mo

Evidenced range £2,300-£2,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £668,950
Net cash flow: -£4,293/mo
Cash on cash: -7.7%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.42 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 148011155Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£689,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,550

Gross Yield1.70%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.8%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

8EN7 6TN

Approval Rate

50%12mo

Development

low

07/26/0859/HF
Erection of garage to replace existing outbuildings and part single storey, part two storey infill extension
Pending
07/26/0846/HF
Part single and part two storey extension to the front side and rear together with associated roof alterations
Pending
07/26/0841/LDP
Certificate of lawfulness for a proposed loft conversion with partial hip to gable roof extension rear dormer extension and 3No. front rooflights
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,283

Population Density414 /km²

Owner Occupied79%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 58%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Goffs Oak Primary & Nursery School
0.1 mi
Good
Woodside Primary School
0.5 mi
Inspected as Woodside Primary School (URN 117321) on 8 Jan 2019
Cuffley School
1.1 mi
GoodImproving
Fairfields Primary School and Nursery
1.4 mi
Good

6 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Springfield Nursery Crouch Lane
-
£1.30M
-
Little Henons Crouch Lane
-
£600k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN