The Orchard, 438 Goffs Lane, Goffs Oak, Waltham Cross, EN7 5EN

UPRN:148049345Detached House5 bedsBuilt 2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: B (86)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Orchard, 438 Goffs Lane, Goffs Oak, Waltham Cross, EN7 5EN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

-- - --

Rent Estimate (pcm)

-- - --

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Orchard earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (49/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageHM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

29/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

49/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 28

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (no market estimate available)
headline score requires rental_economics (no rent estimate available)

What we could establish

Risk & liquidity9/15
201 sales/12mo in area
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
no market estimate available
Rental economics could not be scored
no rent estimate available

Plan

Before you offer

1. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
no market estimate available
2. Fill the rental economics gap before relying on the score.
no rent estimate available
3. Fill the stress margin gap before relying on the score.
no rent to stress
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate-

Rent Estimate (pcm)-

Gross Yield-

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.8%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£1,075,000 (2021-12-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

5EN7 5EN

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

07/26/0852/DRC
Application for the approval of details reserved by conditions no. 3 (Construction Management Statement), 4 (Landscaping Scheme) and the BNG informative of planning ref. 07/26/0006/F (Construction of a new 3 bedroom dwelling)
Pending
07/26/0845/F
Retrospective planning permission for the change of use of adjoining amenity land to residential garden and retention of the existing brick boundary wall and pillars together with the proposed installation of metal railings and an electric sliding access gate
Pending
07/26/0841/LDP
Certificate of lawfulness for a proposed loft conversion with partial hip to gable roof extension rear dormer extension and 3No. front rooflights
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-12-02
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

27 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,283

Population Density-

Owner Occupied79%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 58%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Goffs Academy
0.7 mi
Good
Woodside Primary School
0.7 mi
Inspected as Woodside Primary School (URN 117321) on 8 Jan 2019
Bonneygrove Primary School
0.7 mi
Good
Fairfields Primary School and Nursery
0.8 mi
Good

6 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

430 Goffs Lane
-
£570k
-
406 Goffs Lane
-
£1.07M
-
432 Goffs Lane
-
£509k
-
426 Goffs Lane
-
£506k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN