3 Elmdale, Madeline Road, Petersfield, GU31 4AJ

UPRN:1710036231Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

3 Elmdale, Madeline Road, Petersfield, GU31 4AJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£398,000

£378k - £418kHigh

Estimate

£398k

Range

£378k – £418k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

4.62%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Elmdale earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (80/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

80/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +2.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +28.8%, £/sqft +28.9%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 1710036231· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.9%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -673/mo, -45% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 155 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
114 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£292,500£448,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£390,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £127,800
Net cash flow: -£278/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.14 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 1710036231Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.9%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1650)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£398,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield4.62%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.4%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GU31 4AJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

SDNP/26/04082/TCA
Reduce and shape 3no trees to the rear and front of property. Trees identified as Field Maple (Acer campestre), Crab Apple (Malus sylvestris), and Himalayan Birch (Betula utilis). See attached Tree Location sketch.
Pending
SDNP/26/04050/23G
Application to determine if prior approval is required for a proposed mixed Use of Ground Floor for Class E (Business/Retail) Purposes with 2 (No.) 1 bedroomed Flats above.
Pending
SDNP/26/04021/FUL
Replacement roof
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership77.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,682

Population Density-

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 57%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Churcher's College
0.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
Herne Junior School
0.3 mi
Good
Petersfield Infant School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Sheet Primary School
0.6 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Elmdale Madeline Road
-
£400k
-
Elmdale Madeline Road
-
£415k
-
Elmdale Madeline Road
-
£345k
-
Elmdale Madeline Road
-
£325k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN