11 Probyn Close, Bristol, BS16 1JR

UPRN:19103Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£346,000

£312k - £381kMedium

Estimate

£346k

Range

£312k – £381k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

5.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Probyn Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 50/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (46/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

50/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

32/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

46/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 56

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.5% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 19103· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics5.5/40
gross yield 5.8%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1650-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -384/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
925 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£274,000£419,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£365,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £119,050
Net cash flow: -£20/mo
Cash on cash: -0.2%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.42 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 19103Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1650-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1650-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£346,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield5.75%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£235,000 (2020-10-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1BS16 1JR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P26/02426/CLP
Conversion of existing garage to provide home office.
Pending
P26/02089/TCA
Works to raise branches by 4m to allow clearance on multiple Hazel Trees (G1) Trees situated within Frenchay Conservation Area.
Pending
P26/02098/CLP
Erection of single storey rear extension to provide additional living accommodation.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2020-10-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,051

Population Density1,759 /km²

Owner Occupied67%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 59%65+ 26%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

South Gloucestershire Hospital Home Teaching Service
0.1 mi
-
Frenchay Church of England Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Begbrook Primary Academy
0.6 mi
Good
Frome Vale Academy
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Probyn Close
-
£300k
-
9 Probyn Close
-
£348k
-
11 Probyn Close
-
£235k
-
10 Probyn Close
-
£256k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN