Ayrshire, The Chase, Rochford, SS4 3JE

UPRN:200000266888Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£656,000

£624k - £689kHigh

Estimate

£656k

Range

£624k – £689k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,550

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,550

Yield

2.45%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Ayrshire earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (16/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

16/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -90.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -236.0%, £/sqft -235.9%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000266888· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 10.3%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.4%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,529/mo, -138% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 149 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
238 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,550/mo

Evidenced range £2,300-£2,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£2,453/mo
Cash on cash: -6.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.60 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000266888Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 10.3%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2550/mo (range 2300-2800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 149 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£656,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,550

Gross Yield2.45%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+1.7%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£475,000 (2018-10-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SS4 3JE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00731/DPDP1
Householder Prior Approval for Single Storey Rear/Side Extensions. Projection 8.0m from Original Rear Wall, Eaves Height 2.995m, Maximum Height 2.995m.
Pending
26/00668/FUL
Garage conversion to maximise existing Annex.
Pending
26/00641/FUL
Full planning permission in respect of the change of use of land from vacant scrubland (Agricultural land) to a residential use comprising a 15 pitch Gypsy / Traveller Site each accommodating 1 static caravan and a maximum of 2 tourers (on each pitch) and ancillary works comprising the erection of boundary fencing (part retrospective), the construction of hardstanding (part retrospective) and proposed surface water drainage works and the installation and siting of a foul water package treatment plant.
Pending

View Planning Timeline