24 Warden Avenue, Harrow, HA2 9LW

UPRN:200000304291End Terrace House1 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band DEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£583,000

£525k - £642kMedium

Estimate

£583k

Range

£525k – £642k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,850

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,850

Yield

7.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

24 Warden Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (67/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

23/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

67/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 46Bike 60

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 23% above the ask; lead to verify: the advert has 3 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 1 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +22.8% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +18.8%, £/sqft +18.8%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000304291· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 11.5%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics18.4/40
gross yield 7.6%; range width penalty ×0.88; the estimate this rent rides on sits 23% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2600-3050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 23% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.3/30
stressed cash flow +66/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
285 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £337,500

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,850/mo

Evidenced range £2,600-£3,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: £454/mo
Cash on cash: 3.7%
Score at this price: 36

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.88 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000304291Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 11.5%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2600-3050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 23% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2850/mo (range 2600-3050)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 23% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £337,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£583,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,850

Gross Yield7.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.3%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1HA2 9LW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/1787/26
Non-material amendment to planning permission PL/1055/26 dated 15.6.2026 to allow increase in width of rear extension
Pending
PL/1763/26
Single storey rear extension
Pending
PL/1759/26
Two story side extension; Single storey rear extension (Demolition of rear extension)
Pending

View Planning Timeline