18 Bakery Close, London, SW9 0EB

UPRN:200000479525Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£515,000

£489k - £541kHigh

Estimate

£515k

Range

£489k – £541k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,600

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,600

Yield

6.24%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18 Bakery Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (93/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

65/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

93/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 69Bike 83

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.9% (HIGH), sold-comps -18.2%, £/sqft -18.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000479525· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.7%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.9/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2600/mo (range 2400-2800)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -328/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 134 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
311 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,600/mo

Evidenced range £2,400-£2,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: £112/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000479525Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.7%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2600/mo (range 2400-2800)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2600/mo (range 2400-2800)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£515,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,600

Gross Yield6.24%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth-0.8%

10y Growth+0.4%

Last Sold Price£84,950 (1995-12-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SW9 0EB

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/03200/LB
Removal of the existing double doors between the first-floor reception room and kitchen/breakfast room, and infilling of the associated opening including reinstatement of skirting boards to match the existing traditional detailing (Flat 2).
Pending
26/03197/FUL
Replacement of a rear door with a like-for-like timber french door featuring a traditional six panel configuration (Please note: The reference number for this Listed Building Consent application is 26/03198/LB but there is also an associated application for Full Planning Permission related to these works with reference number: 26/03197/FUL)
Pending
26/03198/LB
Replacement of a rear door with a like-for-like timber french door featuring a traditional six panel configuration (Please note: The reference number for this Listed Building Consent application is 26/03198/LB but there is also an associated application for Full Planning Permission related to these works with reference number: 26/03197/FUL)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership57.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining93 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change1995-12-20
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

10 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,666

Population Density11,685 /km²

Owner Occupied33%

Age Distribution

0-15 10%16-64 84%65+ 6%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Reay Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Stephen's Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
-
Platanos College
0.3 mi
Good
Herbert Morrison Primary School
0.3 mi
Outstanding

1 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

17 Bakery Close
-
£535k
-
19 Bakery Close
-
£350k
-
13 Bakery Close
-
£530k
-
5 Bakery Close
-
£600k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN