Autumn Chance, 9 Woodland Close, Longfield, DA3 7HA

UPRN:200000538245Detached Bungalow4 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Autumn Chance, 9 Woodland Close, Longfield, DA3 7HA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£967,000

£918k - £1.01MHigh

Estimate

£967k

Range

£918k – £1.01M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,800

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,800

Yield

4.48%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Autumn Chance earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (20/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

20/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 24

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 22% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +22.4% (HIGH), sold-comps +29.4%, £/sqft +29.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000538245· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 21.3%· as of 4 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.63; the estimate this rent rides on sits 22% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2800/mo (range 2400-3200)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 22% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,236/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 82 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
165 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£562,500£862,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£750,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,800/mo

Evidenced range £2,400-£3,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £253,800
Net cash flow: -£593/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000538245Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 21.3%Valuation edge · as of 4 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2800/mo (range 2400-3200)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 22% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2800/mo (range 2400-3200)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 22% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£967,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,800

Gross Yield4.48%

1y Growth+4.7%

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+1.1%

10y Growth+3.1%

Last Sold Price£900,000 (2025-10-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DA3 7HA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

20261038
Change of use of land and buildings to storage Use Class B8.
Pending
26/01172/TPO
Application for T1 Mature Lime - Reduction to pollard; T2 Sycamore - Reduce away from buildings, reduce in height by 3-4 metres. Reduce garden side laterals back to source where conflict exists and others by 2m, Both T1 & T2 Reduce laterals away from public pathway (See annotated photo), subject to Tree Preservation Order No.3 1966
Pending
26/01169/CDNA
Submission of details relating to boundary treatments (Condition 2) and hardstanding surface (Condition 3) of planning permission DA/25/00755/FUL for change of use of land to equestrian and the erection of a stables building comprising 1 stall, 1 tack room, and 1 feed store with associated access onto Nurstead Avenue
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-10-17
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,210

Population Density1,506 /km²

Owner Occupied94%

Age Distribution

0-15 14%16-64 55%65+ 31%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Langafel Church of England Voluntary Controlled Primary School
0.6 mi
Requires improvement
Rowhill School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Istead Rise Primary School
0.8 mi
Good
Leigh Academy Longfield
1.1 mi
Good

2 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

9 Woodland Close
-
£900k
-
10 Woodland Close
-
£930k
-
2 Woodland Close
-
£588k
-
7 Woodland Close
-
£628k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN