1 Medlar Drive, Welton, Brough, HU15 1TE

UPRN:200000622905Detached Property4 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

1 Medlar Drive, Welton, Brough, HU15 1TE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£373,000

£355k - £392kHigh

Estimate

£373k

Range

£355k – £392k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

4.48%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Medlar Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 43/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (25/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

43/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

25/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000622905· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1500)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -683/mo, -49% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 251 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
309 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£296/mo
Cash on cash: -2.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000622905Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1500)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 251 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£373,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield4.48%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.1%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£109,950 (2000-10-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HU15 1TE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/30537/CONDET
Submission of details required by Conditions 22 (cycle parking facilities) and 31 (marketing strategy for the self-build elements of the development) of planning permission 22/03861/STPLF
Pending
26/02913/TDD
TPO - LAND TO NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD AVE, ELLOUGHTON - 1987 (REF 292) G1 - Fell two Pine trees as their stability is in concern with branches coming off during a storm
Pending
26/02855/PLB
Listed Building Consent for removal of internal door and frame, creation of wider structural opening between kitchen and breakfast room, infill of kitchen alcove and removal of single external door and frame to rear to provide new structural opening for installation of french doors
Pending

View Planning Timeline