The Farriers, 4 Spade Oak Farm, Coldmoorholme Lane, Bourne End, SL8 5PS

UPRN:200000804807Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Farriers, 4 Spade Oak Farm, Coldmoorholme Lane, Bourne End, SL8 5PS

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,346,000

£1.28M - £1.41MHigh

Estimate

£1.35M

Range

£1.28M – £1.41M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,000

£3k - £5k

Monthly

£4,000

Yield

3.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Farriers earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (29/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

29/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 22

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.1% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000804807· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.65
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4000/mo (range 3450-4550)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,447/mo, -61% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
86 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,000/mo

Evidenced range £3,450-£4,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£1,450/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.95 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000804807Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4000/mo (range 3450-4550)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4000/mo (range 3450-4550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,346,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,000

Gross Yield3.84%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.0%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2SL8 5PS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/08917/KA
Full canopy reduction/ crown reduction up to 2 metres, back to original cuts from previous work to 1 x Horse Chestnut (T1)
Pending
PL/26/08350/KA
One large Fir tree - Fell, T1 Yew - Prune 1.5-2m, T2 Yew - Prune 0.5-1m
Pending
PL/26/08674/KA
Full removal of T1 (Apple) and T2 (Poplar)
Pending

View Planning Timeline