The Paddock, Malpas Road, Tilston, Malpas, SY14 7DR

UPRN:200000830784Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Paddock, Malpas Road, Tilston, Malpas, SY14 7DR

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£892,000

£848k - £937kHigh

Estimate

£892k

Range

£848k – £937k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,950

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£3,950

Yield

5.92%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Paddock earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (3/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

3/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 13

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +10.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000830784· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.3/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3950/mo (range 3600-4300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -602/mo, -15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 153 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
59 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£600,000£920,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£800,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,950/mo

Evidenced range £3,600-£4,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £271,300
Net cash flow: £35/mo
Cash on cash: 0.2%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.46 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000830784Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3950/mo (range 3600-4300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3950/mo (range 3600-4300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 153 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£892,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,950

Gross Yield5.92%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.0%

5y Growth+3.5%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£605,000 (2016-04-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SY14 7DR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03274/CAT
T1 Horse Chestnut with basal root decay - Pollard to standing stem at 5m. T2 Horse Chestnut on edge of woodland overhanging the lawn - Crown lift by 2 to 2.5m and prune back from phone line for approximately 1m clearance. T3 Ash and T4 Scots Pine - Remove deadwood.
Pending
26/03233/FUL
Demolition of the existing conservatory and construction of single-storey side and rear extensions, including alterations to fenestration with new window openings to the existing side and rear elevations and the installation of rooflights.
Pending
26/02778/TPO
T3 Beech, reduce height by 3m in order to clear telewires and shape crown.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2016-04-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

19 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,391

Population Density-

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 60%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Tilston Parochial CofE Primary Academy
0.2 mi
Inspected as Tilston Parochial CofE Primary School (URN 111284) on 19 Oct 2022
Shocklach Oviatt CofE Primary School
1.9 mi
-
Clutton Church of England Primary School
2.0 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Bishop Heber High School
2.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

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£562k
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The Heathers
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Holly Cottage
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£490k
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1 Densons Mews
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£478k
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Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN