Birchwood House, 16 Kirton Road, Greetwell, Brigg, DN20 9PX

UPRN:200000874913Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Birchwood House, 16 Kirton Road, Greetwell, Brigg, DN20 9PX

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£931,000

£884k - £977kHigh

Estimate

£931k

Range

£884k – £977k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,900

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£3,900

Yield

5.01%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Birchwood House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 59/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (9/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

59/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

9/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -37.5%, £/sqft -37.5%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000874913· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 5 comps, dispersion 14.7%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3900/mo (range 3500-4250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,208/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
244 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£701,000£1,075,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£935,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,900/mo

Evidenced range £3,500-£4,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £319,050
Net cash flow: -£456/mo
Cash on cash: -1.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.24 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000874913Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 5 comps, dispersion 14.7%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3900/mo (range 3500-4250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3900/mo (range 3500-4250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£931,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,900

Gross Yield5.01%

1y Growth-0.7%

3y Growth+2.6%

5y Growth+1.0%

10y Growth+3.7%

Last Sold Price£935,000 (2023-11-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN20 9PX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PA/2026/462
Planning permission to demolish existing conservatory and erect kitchen extension
Conditions
PA/2025/1170
Planning permission to replace existing garage with new brick built garage including garden room to rear
Conditions
PA/2024/950
Planning permission to erect single-storey front and rear extensions and erection of boundary wall and gates
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2023-11-28
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

1 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,012

Population Density26 /km²

Owner Occupied83%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 60%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Scawby Academy
1.5 mi
Good
Broughton Primary Academy
2.7 mi
Inspected as Broughton Primary School (URN 117729) on 14 Sep 2021
Hibaldstow Academy
2.8 mi
GoodConcerns
St Peter and St Paul CofE Primary School
2.9 mi
GoodImproving

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

22 Kirton Road
-
£285k
-
16 Kirton Road
-
£935k
-
8 Kirton Road
-
£467k
-
2 Kirton Road
-
£365k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN