Second Cottage, Carr Road, Ulceby, DN39 6TX

UPRN:200000881856Mid Terrace HouseBeds -Built before 1900

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band AEPC: F (26)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Second Cottage, Carr Road, Ulceby, DN39 6TX

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£107,000

£97k - £118kMedium

Estimate

£107k

Range

£97k – £118k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£450

£400 - £450

Monthly

£450

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Second Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 55/100. Investment score 44/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (3/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

55/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

44/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

3/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 22

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +15.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000881856· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics7.8/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.98; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 450/mo (range 400-450)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -179/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.5/15
24 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£67,500£103,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£90,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£450/mo

Evidenced range £400-£450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £28,300
Net cash flow: £8/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000881856Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 450/mo (range 400-450)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 450/mo (range 400-450)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£107,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£450

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth-4.3%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2DN39 6TX

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

PA/2026/252
Application for approval of reserved matters (access, appearance, landscaping, layout and scale) pursuant to hybrid/outline planning permission PA/2022/628 for 85 dwellings
Conditions
PA/2026/8
Application for a Lawful Development Certificate for the proof of commencement of construction in relation to dwellinghouses (Use Class C3) & confirmation the site access road junction with the adjacent highway, including the required visibility splays, has been set out and agreed with NLC Highways in relation to the Full Planning Permission element of PA/2022/628.
Approved
PA/2025/607
Planning permission to retain two security gates, fences, hardstandings and concrete aprons
Conditions

View Planning Timeline